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    Gate 把 IEO 玩坏了?|标准共识

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    Gate 交易所的 IEO 属于近期比较受关注的交易所动向之一。先是发行平台币 GT,之后上线第一个 IEO 项目 CNNS,紧接着上线 DREP、FACTS 和 MovieBloc 三个项目。第一个项目 CNNS 开盘后先是暴涨,之后短时间内迅速下跌,二级市场投资者损失较大。纵观市场上各 IEO 项目的 K 线图可知,绝大多数项目在刚上线交易所的时候有很大涨幅,之后一路下跌。但 Gate 成为备受争议的 IEO 交易所之一,其中的原因值得探究。以下将对 Gate IEO 项目上线后的表现及其背后的原因进行分析。

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    Gate IEO?项目是否赚钱?

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    1.?Gate IEO 首发项目 CNNS 开盘上涨约 9 倍,CNNS 和 DREP 当前价格仍维持在 IEO 价以上,一级市场投资者获较高收益

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    1557480896393434.jpg?

    图?1?部分交易所 IEO 项目情况

    注:图中当前价格为?5 月 8 日收盘价,历史最低价统计截止 5 月 9 日,图中数据均来自于交易所官网

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    如图?1,币安、火币、OKEX 和 Gate 等主流交易所 IEO 项目的历史最高价相比于其 IEO 价格均有较大的涨幅,其中火币 TOP、OKEX 积木云、币安 BitTorrent 和 Gate CNNS 上线分别上涨 27 倍、17 倍、10 倍以及 9 倍。除 FACTS 和 MovieBloc 以外,大部分项目目前的价格仍保持在 IEO 价格以上。Gate 4 个 IEO 项目中,CNNS 和 DREP 当前价格仍维持在 IEO 价以上;其中 CNNS 开盘首日上涨 9 倍多,但其历史最低价相比于最高价下跌近 11 倍。

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    2. 根据 K 线走势与数据显示,Gate 上线的四个项目,历史最低价均低于 IEO 销售价格,处于破发状态;首发项目 CNNS 在开盘首日迎来最高涨幅后一路下跌,之后几乎没有反弹,二级市场投资者损失较重

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    如图?2,根据四个交易所具有代表性的 IEO 首发项目,火币 TOP 项目上线当天暴涨 27 倍,快速下跌之后又连续上涨 5 天。币安 BTT 项目开盘 6 天后上涨到最高价,之后缓慢下跌。Gate 上线 CNNS 项目上线之初上涨 9 倍多,但当天又快速下跌。根据数据显示,Gate 上线的四个项目,历史最低价均低于 IEO 销售价格,其中?MovieBloc?跌幅最大。

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    1557480896893308.jpg

    图?2 交易所首发 IEO 项目 K 线走势

    综上所述,相比于前三大交易所,Gate 首发 IEO 项目在刚上线交易所时同样有较大涨幅,且当前价格维持在 IEO 价格附近,因此参与 Gate IEO 代币销售的一级市场投资者仍能获得较高的收益。相比之下,Gate 上线的四个项目相比历史最低价处于破发状态,首发项目?CNNS 在开盘首日迎来最高涨幅之后一路下跌,之后几乎没有反弹,参与项目的二级市场投资者损失较重??杉?,CNNS 项目引来争议的主要原因在于上线之后价格暴涨暴跌,二级市场追高买入的投资者亏损严重。

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    暴跌的背后

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    一般来看,币价的上涨与买入资金量和卖出资金量的差额成正比,当买入量大于卖出量时币价上涨。对于?IEO 项目,影响买入量与卖出量的主要因素有:交易所用户量或参与 IEO 项目的活跃用户数、用户市场情绪、优质项目以及适当的风控行为等。

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    Gate 作为一家成立 6 年的老牌交易所,早期凭借不收上币费的市场策略,吸引了大量用户;CNNS 和 DREP 两个项目在认购阶段也均有很高热度,因此其上线的四个项目高开低走主要有以下原因:

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    1.?项目上线频率快,战略准备不足

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    币安与火币平均每月上线一个?IEO 项目;OKEX jumpstart 目前仅上线积木云;而 Gate 每隔三四天上线一个 IEO 项目,项目推出频率较高。

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    这样一来,一方面,新项目前期宣传力度不够,用户不了解项目价值,参与?IEO 仅仅出于抢到就能赚钱的共识,二级市场买入动力不足。Gate 上线项目除了 CNNS 前期宣传力度较大以外,另外三个项目宣传预热不足。另一方面,Gate 在 IEO 首发项目 CNNS 高开低走之后,未留出充分的时间调整策略,连续上线了另外三个项目。

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    2. 项目上线后的表现由市场力量决定

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    从?K 线走势来看,CNNS 等项目在二级市场没有明显的护盘行为,项目上线后的表现更多由市场力量决定。IEO 投资者参与的目的主要是在一级市场获利退出,因此,没有风控行为的二级市场有很高风险。项目上线后的表现由自由市场决定还是要有适当的风控行为,这些值得 IEO 规则设计者审慎考虑。

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    综合来看,交易所需谨慎设计?IEO 机制,平衡交易所,项目方和用户三者之间的利益,?;ぷ约旱挠没馐芩鹗?。

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    IEO 后市展望

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    Gate IEO 项目高开低走,暴涨暴跌并非行业个例,目前已有多个交易所的 IEO 项目出现破发。长期来看,IEO 破发项目将逐渐增多,赚钱效应无法持续。

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    1. 破发征兆: 币安、火币、OKEX 和 Gate 等交易所均是第一个 IEO 项目涨幅最高,后续项目的表现不及首发项目,赚钱效应越来越小。此外,绝大多数项目在刚上线交易所的时候有很大涨幅,之后一路下跌。

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    2. 优质项目有限:IEO 模式的核心在于为投资者提供优质项目。目前正处熊市,优质资产资源有限,且随着越来越多的交易所推出 IEO,能为投资者提供的优质项目非常有限。

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    3. 入场资金有限:绝大多数用户参与 IEO 项目并非看好项目本身,只是认可 IEO 机制,认为项目方和交易所会拉盘。但破发项目的出现已经打破这一共识。赚钱效应降低及破发项目增多将影响用户入场热情。

    本文来源: momoshui 文章作者: 佚名
      下一篇

    投资者开始积极尝试IEO项目。

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