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    勇士胜火箭根源是区块链的原理

    火箭对勇士的这轮系列赛非常精彩。做为一个火箭球迷,目睹火箭G6出局心情很复杂,但是金州勇士无疑是更优秀的那个球队。先帮哈登平个反,哈登的表现已经是现象级了,不能再要求有更好的表现了,这轮系列赛场均34.8分,真实命中率达到59.4%。这几天网上铺天盖地的人都在喷哈登,很多人认为火箭的败北是因为登哥在关键时刻没有接管比赛,或者说在比赛中散步,说保罗发力太晚,说9000万的卡佩拉被底薪的鲁尼完爆...这些说法都有些片面,从第一性原理出发,勇士的胜利是“系统”的胜利,勇士战胜火箭的根源是区块链的原理。

    其实勇士队的胜利是“系统”的胜利,是一个严肃的“区块链”问题,勇士的系统“容错性”更高,勇士是“非中心化”的系统优于火箭“中心化”的系统,才是胜负的底层逻辑。

    “容错性”高的重要性

    “容错性”没那么神秘?先配图解释一下

    飞机的多个发动机就是“容错”设计,就算一个发动机失灵靠其他发动机依然可以飞行

    勇士胜火箭根源是区块链的原理

    金州勇士的5巨头阵容,也是“容错”设计,就算表妹,KD受伤,系统依然可以运行

    勇士胜火箭根源是区块链的原理

    • 系统的"容错性"

    系统的“容错性”,英文叫fault tolerant, 是使系统在部分组件发生故障时仍能正常运作的能力。设计时未考虑故障容许度的系统,在发生很小的故障时也可能完全故障。容错性对于系统非常的关键,而且容错性的原来无处不在。 

    • NBA球队的"容错性"

    在篮球比赛中,一只球队就是一个的系统。刚刚进入西决的金州勇士就诠释了系统容错性。5巨头的配置造就了卫冕冠军成为一个“容错性”很高的系统。没有考辛斯,勇士少了一种打法上的选择,但毕竟他们还有死亡五小这张底牌可用。5场拼下来杜兰特,在G5第四节不打的情况下,场均42.4分钟;汤普森,场均41.9分钟;格林,场均40.8分钟;库里,场均40.3分钟;伊戈达拉,场均34分钟;这样的上时间是导致杜兰特小腿拉伤真正原因。

    没有“死神” 杜兰特,勇士还有容错的机会,他们还有水花兄弟。金州勇士进入了科尔执教时代最困难的时刻,但是库里可以在上半场0分3犯的情况下,下半场强势反弹半场33分主宰比赛,半场33分也是NBA历史第二高的半场得分纪录。汤普森用50%的命中率轰下27分?;褂性腇MVP伊戈达拉和全明星球员格林。在常规赛82场比赛季后赛4轮系列赛的赛场下,容错性高的球队最终往往会夺得冠军,由于核心球员伤病改变系列赛走势,改变冠军归属的例子比比皆是。

    所以,在NBA的篮球世界,“高容错”= 高冠军概率。

    • 区块链系统的“容错性” 

    包括区块链在内的分布式系统需要有一定的容错性。区块链的共识机制设计的目的是让由多个不可信节点组成的网络中取得可信性。共识机制非常必要的假设一些流程和系统有较高的延迟,无法有时效的沟通,因此共识机制需要有一定的容错性。

    区块链系统的节点可能源于多种原因而失效,比如静默失效(处理器到达使用寿命后无法工作),又或者系统无法终止,永久性产生常量值流或看似随机值的流。对容错的恶意挑战也屡见不鲜,包括某些非偶然性的合谋攻击:比如51%攻击、硬分叉攻击、双花攻击,女巫攻击以及DoS攻击等等。容错性就是要在各种问题出现的情况下,依然不影响系统的正常运行。

    说到分布式系统的容错,就不得不提著名的“拜占庭容错”,早在1982年拜占庭将军问题(Byzantine failures)由美国计算机科学家莱斯利·兰伯特在论文《ACM Transactions on Programming Languages and Systems》中提出的点对点通信中的基本问题。含义是在存在消息丢失的不可靠信道上试图通过消息传递的方式达到一致性是不可能的。因此对一致性的研究一般假设信道是可靠的。这个难题就是现在家喻户晓的“拜占庭将军问题”。在飞机发动机系统、核电站和几乎所有行为取决于大量传感器结果的系统都需要拜占庭容错。用来解决拜占庭将军问题的拜占庭容错Byzantine Fault Tolerance (BFT)就是最早的“共识机制”了。拜占庭容错系统在很多场景都有应用,在区块链应用中,一般适合于对强一致性有要求的私有链和联盟链场景。

    所以,在区块链的世界,“高容错”= 高稳定性

    勇士非中心化系统

    金州勇士是非中心化的网状系统。反观休斯顿火箭,是一个进攻以哈登为中心节点(哈登的回合占有率达到了35.2%),防守以塔克为核心的接近中心化的系统。而防守一个中心化的体统相对是比较容易的。

    勇士胜火箭根源是区块链的原理

    效率值来看,网状多中心的勇士队是更高效的球队,季后赛效率值排行中,杜兰特31.1的效率值排名联盟第三,哈登28的效率值排第5,而库里23.5和追梦格林的23.4分别排在联盟的11和12位。前20中3位勇士的球员支撑了多中心的体系,而火箭只有哈登1位排入前20。

    火箭的战术是以球星单打为主的,而勇士多中心的体系是以传导球为主的。季后赛助攻来看,死亡5小中的4个人场均助攻数排进联盟前30,其中追梦格林场均8个助攻季后赛排第4,库里5.1个助攻排第15,杜兰特4.9个助攻排第17,伊戈达拉也有4个助攻排进了前30。反观火箭,只有登哥和保罗2人排进了前30(哈登6.6个助攻排第9,保罗5.5个助攻排第14)。

    勇士胜火箭根源是区块链的原理

    举这两组简单的数据,想说的是勇士的篮球体系,是围绕巴哈马死亡5小的多中心体系,是一个由传导分享球组成的网状体系。而今年的火箭对是进攻以哈登为中心节点,防守以塔克为核心,保罗为弱核心的线性系统。所以大家不要再指责登哥了,中心节点再强大,遇到了勇士这样的多中心系统都是占下风的,想想詹皇老汉的能力和在前面几年总决赛刷的数据,14-15赛季颠覆的老汉35.8分,13.3助攻,8.8篮板的神?;故鞘?。多中心化的系统的优势是非常明显的。

    结语

    勇士的系统“容错度”更高夺冠的“概率更高”,勇士是“非中心化”程度更高的网状系统,相比于更中心化的火箭拥有系统性的优势,这才是比赛胜负的底层逻辑。

    本文来源: momoshui 文章作者: 佚名
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