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    链资本创始人虫哥:要在熊市中看到未来 | 独家专访

    导读:伟人曾问大师:“佛教说人有轮回,怎样才能让人相信呢?” 大师问:“今天的你能看见明天的太阳吗?” 伟人说:“看不见?!?大师又问:“那你相信明天会有太阳吗?” 伟人笑着说:“我明白了!”

    一夜迈出“第一步” 

    2013年无意中在网上看到有关比特币的信息,虫哥就入迷了。 

    “感觉这玩意儿能跑赢通货膨胀,实现真正的财富自由,我一下就钻进去了?!背娓缯庋稳莸笔钡淖约?。 

    不像现在的加密货币信息满天飞,当时在互联网上还没有太多关于比特币的信息来源,仅有一个“比特人论坛”。 

    花了整整一晚上的时间,他把论坛内几万个帖子全部看了一遍,第二天就飞去福建开始搞矿场。 

    当时阿瓦隆的第一代矿机刚发货,8000众筹的矿机炒到30万一台,2-3个月回本。 

    “那时比特币价格从1000跌到了500,所以我也不敢投资。但是我发现用显卡挖莱特币是个很好的选择。5-6个月回本,挖3个月就能回本一半。就算币价归零,剩下的显卡卖给网吧,残值起码还有70%?!?nbsp;

    虫哥对金色财经表示,从投资安全角度来看,那时用显卡挖矿比矿机更靠谱。

    通过朋友找到了一个电价便宜的地方,虫哥自此迈出了进入这个行业的第一步。 

    链资本创始人虫哥

    最重要的“时机” 

    币圈能涉及到的产业,虫哥几乎都做了一遍。从资讯到矿机,从交易所到资本。 

    壹比特成立时恰逢牛市,当时国内的区块链资讯平台用一只手都数的过来,壹比特独占鳌头,估值上亿,好不风光。 

    后来开发的银鱼矿机以当时的工艺,在性能上打败了所有的竞争对手,使用寿命至少3年,投资回报率惊人。 

    但虫哥等人依然没能熬过惨烈的熊市。壹比特最终关门大吉,18000元的银鱼矿机最后以200-500元的价格处理了。 

    莱特币价格380元的时候他们预测其市值足以支撑做矿机。结果半年后机器做出来,熊市也到来了。莱特币跌到惨不忍睹,最低5元一个,意味着银鱼连电费都挖不回来。

    “但是银鱼矿机仍然是史上寿命最长的矿机,一直到2017年还在挖币,给那些目光长远的矿工带来了丰厚的回报,”虫哥曾如此感叹到。 

    相比之下,某品牌矿机的功耗比预估大30%,芯片良率也非常低,在熊市必死无疑。但是时机决定命运,因为牛市,他们不仅化险为夷,甚至9月的退款退机器事件还让厂家狠狠的挖了一把矿,并且以高价卖出后续生产的机器。 

    那段经历给虫哥留下的只有经验和教训:“这个市场中最大的挑战是行业周期和趋势,也就是俗称的风口。何时进场很重要,但最重要的是你能不能熬到下一轮牛市。” 

    “牛市”与“熊市” 

    币圈有个最大的特点是2-3年一轮牛熊市,而且转换异常惨烈。 

    比特币2013年高点在8000左右,经过4年时间在2017年才上升到20000多,涨幅仅一倍多,并且中间曾一度跌到900多。这个过程无疑是痛苦的。 

    2017年大量的项目进场,边感叹“太晚了”边卯着劲想要奋起直追。但在虫哥看来,那才是进入这个行业最好的时机。 

    “牛市时,大资本有足够的体量让他们布局,而不是像我们当初只有一帮极客和少数人在玩。稍微有点黑天鹅事件就闹得稀里哗啦,每次都把我们这些老韭菜伤残。比如门头沟事件、某某交易所事件、比特币区块大小扩容事件、融资砸盘事件等等。放到现在,即使出现这些事件也很快就会被消化掉?!?nbsp;

    去年9月,在国内两大交易所都被关闭的情况下,某交易所及时推出币币交易,并将用户体验和社区运营做到极致,外加创始人的境外身份和行业地位,半年时间就入主福布斯排行榜,估值百亿。这在传统行业是难以想象的奇迹。 

    “所以这个行业最大的挑战是大环境,其次才是布局产业链的具体方向。最关键的,是你要有足够的资金熬过下一轮熊市。只要牛市来临,无论什么阿猫阿狗,只要活着,就会得到资金,他们总能发现价值洼地?!?nbsp;

    但是换个角度看,只要在冬季来领之前填饱肚子,然后进入冬眠状态,熊市又何尝不是温床。不受浮躁的氛围影响,踏踏实实开发项目,等待下一轮的爆发,机会则一定有。金色财经研究发现,国内的优质项目如小蚁、量子链都是在2015年、2016年的熊市中布局,在2017年的牛市爆发。 

    虫哥说:“一定要在熊市中看到未来!” 

    牛熊市的转换在未来很长一段时间内恐怕仍将存在。除非将来产业真正落地,作为龙头的比特币因为POW机制挖矿成本变得非常高,主流的投资交易市场全面接纳加密货币,牛熊市的分界或许会逐渐模糊。就像现在的互联网,没有熊市和牛市,只有失败的项目和成功的项目。 

    行业未来的发展 

    随着2017年的ICO乱象出现,监管政策出台,逐渐有了“牛市”转“熊市”的迹象。虫哥认为,面向不特定公众的ICO项目要坚决杜绝。但是token属于矿工的劳动所得,不应涉及法律问题。 

    “我希望做好KYC,杜绝空气币,杜绝大众融资,但允许有创新的共识机制项目通过劳动手段获得token?!彼硎?,区块链的作用是为了提高社会效率,为下一代开创新的经济环境,通过技术让社会变得更加信任。 

    欧美国家通过影视文化想全球输出他们的价值观,而我们在区块链产业上遥遥领先他国??蠡?、交易所、几条著名的公链等灯,都是我们通过区块链向全球输出我们价值观的最好机会。 

    “比如水电站的弃水挖矿,可以进行合理监管,然后将挖出的币卖到国外换取外汇,也是藏富于民的一种方式嘛?!?nbsp;

    采访的最后,虫哥对金色财经表示,区块链行业未来必定走向国际化,所以拥有一个国际化布局的团队非常重要。如何有效的协作信任和资源互换也是对创始人智商、情商的巨大挑战。

    本文来源: momoshui 文章作者: 佚名
      下一篇

    站在区块链行业发展风口浪尖的韩国也一边支持区块链技术的发展,一边为其健康发展努力寻找对策。最近,金色财经对韩国区块链协会代表Kim Hwajun进行了专访,从中了解了韩国区块链发展现状,以及韩国政府对区块链发展的支持和监管状况。

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