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    区块链背后的大格局之争,炒币的我们必须要懂

    今天最重要的消息莫过于2018中国国际大数据产业博览会在贵阳开幕,会上工信部、国家发改委、网信办等相关负责人都谈到了区块链,认为区块链技术很重要,将推动区块链技术在新产业和社会经济中的发展落地。而国外的消息莫过于美国司法部对数字货币市场价格操纵进行调查,以及英国最高金融监管机构调查24家数字货币企业是否开展未授权业务。

    其实只要大家有关注过最近的一些币圈消息,便能发现这个奇怪的现象,国内和国外对数字货币和区块链是两种截然不同的态度:国内鼓励区块链技术发展,禁止数字货币市场炒币,国外是监管规范数字货币市场。两种不同的态度背后,反映的是格局、经济体制的差异,值得我们思考。

    1、参与主体不同:对数字货币市场而言,虽然都由政府监管,但国外对数字货币市场的监管,名义上是政府及司法机关的诉求,对普通投资者权益的?;?,但其实是由不同利益诉求的政客背后大财团公司在操纵。像华尔街、高盛等这样的大财团想进场数字货币,首先是要肃清目前数字货币市场的乱象和混乱,制定符合自身利益的规则后才会大举进攻。但对于国内而言,主要还是政府在推动,基于经济稳定、产业发展的角度,然后才是各类公司在政府指引下参与进区块链建设中去。

    2、方式不同:国外主要靠法制,通过制定法律,让现有的数字货币市场符合它现有的法规,在法律规则的范围内进行活动,也就意味着在法律指导下,基于商业规则可以充分的竞争;国内主要是靠人治,通过规则政策来进行引导和规范,导向性比较明确。

    3、格局差异:从目前已知的信息可以判断,美国为首的对数字货币市场的监管主要是基于金融角度,开展比特币期货交易只是第一步,目的是试图驯服比特币,第二步便是交易所和ICO规则制定,通过发牌照的形式和制定ICO规则来操控全球的数字货币市场,将其纳入监管,进而形成美元称霸经济之后的数字货币统治时代,在数字货币市场上占领至高点和游戏规则的制定者,这从美国近期不仅审查位于美国的交易商,还对英国等国比特币交易商进行调查就可以看出来,异常强势。而国内主要是从产业格局的角度,想利用区块链来发展国内经济,促进产业升级。不同的格局导致了不同的政策措施,也从侧面反映出国内目前的工作重心在于经济发展和民生建设上。

    两种不同的态度和做法,其实都是从各国的发展角度考虑的,至于未来那种策略或格局更有成效,现在是看不出来的,我们唯一要做的就是了解其背后的考量因素后,对于币圈的各类新闻有一个大体的认识和思考,不再被各类消息混淆视听进而影响投资决策。

    下面来说下行情:

    BTC: 短期内在7300-7600区间横盘整理行情,下午虽然有一波反弹行情,但量能不够,只能看做多头的反弹尝试,盘面仍受到压制,目前在7500附近整理,上方压力位7900-8000,下方支撑7000-7200。从日K线来看,行情处于下降三角整理区域,受均线压制,在MA360年线附近缠结,从前几次的走势来看,均在年线附近获得支撑,而大盘行情自从2015年底开始一直在MA360年线上方运行,如果此次有效跌破会对后市产生悲观情绪,因此个人认为目前是个重要点位,多空双方会在此纠缠形成类似于三月底四月初的筑底行情,甚至是多方有可能通过暴力拉升的方式来提振市场信心。因此可以在支撑位置适当建仓,避免由于行情突然上涨造成踏空的情况,但此位置仍有风险,不要梭哈。谨慎的小伙伴们可以继续等待行情给出方向后再行动,预计这周末或下周会有新方向。?

    区块链背后的大格局之争,炒币的我们必须要懂

    其他币种:跟随比特币联动横盘走势,都没有太大的行情。此种形势下宜观望等待大盘给出方向后再行动,激进的小伙伴可以分批次少量建仓前期有热门表现的币种,这类币种在比特币大盘走稳后的行情还是可以期待的,对于4月份以来行情极弱的币种,目前没有建仓的必要。下面列举一些币种的支撑压力点位,仅供参考。

    ETH短线支撑点位560、540、500,压力位620、650、700,可以适量关注。

    BCH短线支撑点位950、930、780,上方压力位1100、1200、1300,短线建议观望。

    LTC支撑点位110、100, 压力位130、140、160,近期表现极弱,不建议入场操作。

    ETC支撑点位14、13,压力位16、18、20,币种表现较弱,短线不建议进场。

    XRP支撑点位0.58、0.55、0.5,压力位0.65、0.7、0.75,短线不能站稳0.75,宜观望。

    XLM支撑点位0.26、0.24,压力位0.3、0.35,币种表现较弱,短线不能站稳0.33,不建议进场。

    EOS目前紧跟大盘走势,短线支撑11、10、9.2,压力位14.5、16.5、19.5,可在支撑点位附近少量建仓,后期随着主网上线可能会有反弹行情,但期望值可能需要调低了,短线筹码建议逢高减仓,长线筹码可以继续持有。

    AE支撑点位3、2.8、2.5,压力位3.5、4、4.6,不站稳4,不建议进场。

    ADA支撑点位0.2、0.18, 压力位0.24、0.26、0.32,可在支撑位少量建仓。

    ONT短线支撑点位6、5,压力位7、8.5,可在支撑点位附近少量挂单,跌破5.6注意止损。

    TRX支撑点位0.065、0.06、0.055,压力位0.076、0.085??稍谥С诺阄桓浇ú致穹?。从盘面看处于高位整理,且连续20多天净资金流入量排行前5,5.31主网上线时或许会有一波行情,可以适当建仓抢反弹,但仍需注意风险,跌破0.06,需要注意止损,如果下周反弹趋势较弱,需要及时高位套现。

    RUFF支撑点位0.08、0.06,压力位0.1、0.12,短线走势较弱,宜观望。

    TCT支撑点位0.06、0.055,压力位0.07、0.08,可在支撑位附近少量挂单,跌破0.06注意止损。

    LOOM支撑点位0.000048btc、0.00004btc,压力位0.00006btc、0.000065btc,短线走势较弱,宜观望。

    BTM短线支撑点位0.57、0.5,压力位0.8、0.9,可在支撑点位附近少量仓位,跌破0.55注意止损。此币种受近期矿机事件影响仍在发酵,需留意短期风险。

    NAS支撑点位5.5、5, 压力位7、8、9,短线走势较弱,宜观望。

    Theta支撑点位0.16、0.15,压力位0.2、0.24,可在在支撑位少量建仓,跌破0.16注意止损。

    BLZ支撑点位0.38、0.3,压力点位0.45、0.5、0.65,可在支撑位附近少量建仓,跌破0.35注意止损。

    ZIL支撑位0.115、0.11、0.1,压力位0.15、0.166,可在支撑位少量建仓,跌破0.1注意止损。

    IOST支撑位0.035、0.03,压力位0.045、0.05、0.06,短期内有继续下行的风险,宜观望。

    BTS支撑位0.18、0.16,压力位0.25、0.28、0.3,短线走势较弱,宜观望。

    最后提示:任何币种,没有只涨不跌的神话,因此在币圈,始终要对市场有敬畏之心。以上币种点位仅供参考,投资需要自己有应对之策,从容面对涨跌走势。

    本文来源: momoshui 文章作者: 佚名
      下一篇

    月底行情可以说是非常无聊,总的策略非常简单,不动就不亏钱,所以操作上就保持多看少动,等待也是一种投资,不凡整体判断这波行

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